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2023 NFC South Division NFL Odds & Predictions

By Jeff Stinger

There’s a sudden power shift over in the NFC North, as the Packers bid farewell to its franchise player to blow the division race wide open. Who holds the most power outside of Green Bay is still up in the air, though, which makes this division one of the more unpredictable and exciting groups to follow all season long.

Nitrobetting is here to take your bets into the end zone this 2023 NFL season. This time, let’s break down each team from the NFC North and their corresponding odds of winning the division title in 2023.

2023 NFL Odds to Win the NFC South

There are not lines

New Orleans Saints

New Orleans’ search for their next franchise quarterback in the post-Drew Brees era enters a new chapter as former Raider fan favorite Derek Carr makes his way to the Big Easy. Carr will need to make an immediate impact with less, as stud running back Alvin Kamara has to play out a three-game suspension to start the season and with 2029 Offensive Player of the Year Michael Thomas needing to prove that he’s not washed out.

The Saints’ defense, meanwhile, also has a pair of Pro Bowl players in Cameron Jordan and Marshon Lattimore needing bounce-back campaigns after they saw a visible regression last season. Another huge signing in the form of running back Jamaal Williams (17 rushing TDs last season) is a solid add as Kamara’s backfield partner. And despite a lackluster offseason for defensive upgrades, a star-powered offense is still enough for New Orleans to be considered as the current odds-on favorite to win the NFC South this upcoming season.

Atlanta Falcons

Things are slowly looking up for the Falcons, who ended up tied for second place (and virtually last place) in the division race with a 7-10 record in 2022. Although the Marcus Mariota experiment had failed, they found enough upside from rookie QB Desmond Ridder in the latter half of last season. Ridder is equipped with equally promising weapons in the passing game in blue chip tight end Kyle Pitts, wideout Drake London, and freshly-recruited running back Bijan Robinson.

Atlanta also did pull any punches toward upgrading its defense this offseason. The team signed big-name free agents in six-time Pro Bowl defensive end Calais Campbell, former All-Pro safety Jessie Bates, and linebacker Bud Dupree; all exceptional defenders in their respective positions coming from the AFC North. With a nice mix of improved defense and an exciting young offense, the Falcons are very fascinating sleepers to win the NFC South for the first time since 2016.

Carolina Panthers

The rebuild is in full effect in the Queen City, as the Panthers bid farewell to their franchise player Christian McCaffrey to free up cap space for said rebuild. Carolina went all in at the 2022 NFL Draft by trading up with the Bears to select Alabama quarterback Bryce Young with the first-overall pick. Young is a dual-threat playmaker who draws comparisons to Kyler Murray and even the team’s former great, Cam Newton.

The Panthers came prepared to give Young all the right pieces to have a banner debut NFL season, signing Super Bowl-winning running back Miles Sanders and a pair of tenured wideouts Adam Thielen and D.J. Chark. The defense remains a big question mark, though, and this is what limits Carolina’s ceiling as no more than another sleeper candidate to stun the AFC South by winning the division and after five consecutive losing seasons at that.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Super Bowl honeymoon period in Tampa Bay is over, as Tom Brady’s (second) retirement means that the Buccaneers have to rebuild just like the rest of their division rivals. Having Baker Mayfield assume the reins of the offense is not a good look for the defending AFC South champs that barely won the division last year with a subpar 8-9 mark. Furthermore, running back Leonard Fournette cannot save their running game either, as Fournette remains a salary cap liability and remains on the free-agent market to date.

To top it all off, the Bucs saw a mass exodus from their once-vaunted defensive core. Akiem Hicks, Sean Murphy-Bunting, Logan Ryan, Keanu Neal, and Carl Nassib are all gone. With more holes than ever during the short-lived Brady era, it stands to reason that the Buccaneers are now longshots to sustain their grasp of the AFC South crown for the past couple of years.

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READ MORE: 2023 AFC South Division NFL Odds & Predictions