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2023 AFC South Division NFL Odds & Predictions

By Jeff Stinger

There’s plenty of intrigue surrounding the AFC South entering the new NFL season. The Jaguars have emerged as the new kings of the division, with the Titans losing their former stranglehold of the division, and the Texans and Colts still having a lot of improvement to do. Will Jacksonville be able to sustain this level of success given how the offseason has panned out for each of the four teams in the division?

Nitrobetting is here to take your bets into the end zone this 2023 NFL season. This time, let’s break down each team from the AFC South and their corresponding odds of winning the division title in 2023.

2023 NFL Odds to Win the AFC South

There are not lines

Jacksonville Jaguars

After four straight losing seasons and lingering in the basement of the AFC South, head coach Doug Pederson turned a pathetic Jaguars organization into a division winner just like that. Pederson was a real blessing for the Jags, who finally saw the real potential of former first-overall pick Trevor Lawrence and even gave the Chiefs a run for their money during their AFC Divisional Round showdown.

Lawrence still has plenty of room to grow and it’ll be fascinating to witness Jacksonville’s rise with T-Law under center and try to top his 4,000-yard, 25-touchdown passing sophomore season. Running back Travis Etienne also had a breakout campaign after sitting out his rookie 2021 season with an injury and finishing with over 1,100 rushing yards. With the rest of the AFC South in relative flux, the Jags are an easy pick as the odds-on favorite to repeat as division champions.

Tennessee Titans

Has Tennessee’s window for a Super Bowl title closed for good? The Titans regressed rather significantly from a 12-win season in 2021 to a 7-10 record in 2022 to snap their three-year streak of making the playoffs. Ryan Tannehill proved yet again that he’s merely an average QB in the league and that the loss of top wideout A.J. Brown hurt their offense more than they had expected.

On the bright side, Derrick Henry still has a good year or two left in him as the former Offensive Player of the Year looks to literally carry his team on his back. Although, Tennessee did lose four of their offensive linemen this offseason, notably three-time Pro Bowl tackle Taylor Lewan. Thanks to an above-average defensive unit and the next two AFC South teams being in far worse shape, the Titans are still an intriguing sleeper pick to reclaim their spot atop the division.

Indianapolis Colts

In one of the most baffling mid-season decisions in recent memory, Colts owner Jim Irsay thought it would be wise to have his team’s former center with no coaching experience, Jeff Saturday, take over as head coach. Indianapolis went just 1-7 with Saturday at the helm and with Matt Ryan looking older than ever, which means it’s back to the drawing board for Indy.

Nabbing dual-threat QB Anthony Richardson with the fourth-overall pick in this year’s draft will give the Colts some hope if their rookie play-caller does indeed stand out in his NFL debut. Jonathan Taylor, the league’s leading rusher a couple of years ago, is ready for a bounce-back season as well. However, the Colts’ once-feared defense has been cannibalized this offseason, losing standouts Stephon Gilmore, Yannick Ngakoue, and Bobby Okereke in a flash. This further limits their expectations as nothing more than a relative longshot to win the AFC South title for the first time since 2014.

Houston Texans

Similar to the Colts, the Texans are still in their rebuilding phase and are on the right track with their offseason moves. Second-overall pick C.J. Stroud will look to become the team’s new franchise quarterback with the Ohio State superstar getting immediate support. Former 49ers defensive coordinator DeMeco Ryans was hired as Houston’s new head coach, and Ryan went right to the team’s coffers to sign the likes of running back Devin Singletary (Bills), wide receiver Robert Woods (Titans), and tight end Dalton Shultz (Cowboys) to give Stroud the necessary weapons.

Another promising talent to keep an eye on is incumbent starting running back Dameon Pierce, who nearly broke the 1,000-yard rushing barrier in his rookie campaign. There’s a real lack of experience on this Houston squad and the defense is still projected to be one of the worst in the league. As such, the Texans can be considered as no more than another longshot to win the AFC South this season.

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