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Super Bowl 56 Point Total Betting Prediction

By Carlos Chacon

One of the most popular Super Bowl bets is to wager over or under the total. Super Bowl 56 presents a dilemma for over/under total bettors because it showcases a couple of teams with both terrific offenses and very good defenses. The current total for the Feb. 13 Super Bowl is 48. See below for why the Rams and Bengals will and won’t score 24 points each as well as a bottom line analysis.

Super Bowl 56 Over/Under Odds

READ MORE: Using Past Performance to Predict Super Bowl Winners

  • Over/Under Total:48

Why will the Los Angeles Rams score over 24 points?

Matthew Stafford has been on fire. The Rams’ starting quarterback threw for 366 yards and 2 touchdowns in the 30-27 win against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Versus the rival San Francisco 49ers, Stafford threw for 337 yards and a couple of TDs. Also, LAR averages 27.1 points per game and on Sunday, they take on a team with a very good passing attack.

Why will the Los Angeles Rams score less than 24 points?

Sean McVay will institute a strategy that keeps the ball out of Joe Burrow’s hands. If Burrow doesn’t have the football, he can’t throw it all over the field. In addition, the Rams have leaned on their defense in plenty of games this season. The Rams beat the 49ers 20-17 in the NFC Championship, LAR beat the Baltimore Ravens 20-19 on Jan.2, and on Dec. 21, Los Angeles beat the rival Seattle Seahawks 20-10.

Why will the Cincinnati Bengals score over 24 points?

Like the Rams, the Bengals average 27.1 points per game. Unlike the Rams, who depend mostly on Matthew Stafford to Cooper Kupp, the Bengals have a seriously talented running back to go along with Joe Burrow and the passing game.

Burrow has plenty of targets outside of Ja’Marr Chase. Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd are capable of having huge games. Joe Mixon is capable of taking it to the house on every carry. Mixon is also an accomplished pass catching RB. The Bengals have a lot of weapons on offense.

Why will the Cincinnati Bengals score less than 24 points?

Burrow is a master at managing the clock. Cincinnati’s quarterback understands how to keep the ball from the opposing quarterback’s hands. Zac Taylor prefers to chew up clock and end long drives with touchdowns. If the Bengals must pick up the pace, they will. But Taylor’s preference is to keep the ball in his QB’s hands and force the opposing offense to adjust.

Trends are a great tool to determine how a team might play. In this case, most trends point to this going under. But it’s not just trends that point to an under game. Both teams prefer to chew up clock to keep their terrific defenses fresh for the fourth quarter. Case in point? The Rams played a defensive game against the 49ers in the NFC Championship until the fourth-quarter. That’s when Matthew Stafford and the offense sped things up.

Joe Burrow and the Bengals had to speed things up in the second half in the AFC Championship because they were down by 18 points. If Cincinnati had been down by 7, they would have continued to play slowly. Also, Burrow slowed things down once he got to within shouting distance of the Chiefs. Then, he made very possession count. Expect both Burrow and Stafford to play the same way on Sunday.

Neither team wants to play too fast because both coaches want to cut down on their opponent’s possessions. Because of the likely pace of Super Bowl 56, we can expect no more than 47 points to land onto the scoreboard.

Super Bowl 56 Point Total Prediction: 47

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*All odds stated are subject to change without prior notice.