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Ole Miss vs. Alabama 2023 College Football Week 4 Odds, Preview & Pick

By Hank Blaine

Lane Kiffin leads Ole Miss to Byrant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide. Kiffin used to run Nick Saban’s offense. So the ties between the Rebels and Tide are deep. Will Ole Miss show why many believe Bama’s reign atop the SEC is finished? Or will the Crimson Tide return to the top of the conference?

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Game Information

  • When: Saturday, September 23, 2023, 3:30 PM ET
  • Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
  • TV: CBS
  • Radio: WOXF 105.1 FM (Ole Miss) // Tide 100.9 FM (Alabama)
  • Live Stream: WatchESPN
  • College Football Odds: Ole Miss (+7) // Alabama (-7)

Why Bet on the Ole Miss Rebels?

Unlike past seasons where their defense proved to be their undoing, Ole Miss has fielded a decent D in 2023. The defense allows 16.7 points. Almost as impressive, the D allows just 350.3 total yards per game.

Trey Washington and Jeremiah Jean-Baptiste lead the Ole Miss defense. Washington scored 10 total tackles and Jean-Baptiste 8 in the impressive 48-23 victory over Georgia Tech. Linebacker Jean-Baptiste and safety Washington are two of the reasons the Rebels lock down in the red zone.

Lane Kiffin is known as an offensive mastermind. So far, Kiffin’s mastermind abilities have shown. The Rebels average 526.7 total yards per game.

Ole Miss scores 52.7 points per, ranking fourth in the nation. Like on most college football teams, Ole Miss’ offensive success starts with their quarterback, Jaxson Dart. The junior has thrown for 852 yards and 7 TDs with a single pick. Senior Jordan Watkins is Dart’s favorite target. Watkins has already caught 15 passes for 290 yards and a TD.

Why Bet on the Alabama Crimson Tide?

Bama’s defense gave up 34 points to the Texas Longhorns in a loss, but other than that performance, the unit has dominated. Middle Tennessee scored 7 and South Florida scored 3.

The Tide allows an average of 309.7 total yards and 14.7 points per game. Dallas Turner is the star on the defense. Turner scored 2.5 sacks and had 7 total tackles against South Florida.

Quarterback has been an issue. The offense averages 32.3 points and 367.7 yards per game. But Bama has faced just one team with a good defense, Texas, and in that it underperformed.

Jalen Milroe started the season the starter. But after a tough game against the Longhorns, Saban experimented with freshman Ty Simpson and former Notre Dame signal-caller Tyler Buchner.

Neither played well against South Florida. So the Tide will go back to Milroe. Running back Jase McClellan has talent and the offensive line is stout. Don’t be surprised if Bama becomes a run first team from this game to the end of the season.

Ole Miss vs. Alabama Betting Trends

  • The total has gone over in 4 of Ole Miss’s last 5 games.
  • Ole Miss is 3-1 ATS in their last 4.
  • Under is 6 and 3 in Ole Miss’s last 9 games.
  • Alabama is SU in 3 of their last 4 at home.
  • Alabama is 3-5 ATS in their last 8.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of Alabama’s last 7 games at home.

Ole Miss vs. Alabama Expert Betting Predictions

The key for Alabama will be to simplify the offense. The Crimson Tide appeared to force a vertical passing system onto Milroe in the Texas game.

One of Jalen’s skills isn’t throwing the deep ball with accuracy. So the Tide should return to what has worked when Milroe has played, leaning on the rush and giving Jalen high-percentage passes to complete.

But even if Bama comes out with a different strategy on offense, it will be difficult for the home squad in this to cover the spread. Jaxson Dart is a solid QB and the Rebels’ D is playing about as well as Bama’s considering both teams’ first three opponents. Also, Kiffin knows how Saban coaches and will have an idea of how to beat the Bama D. Ole Miss covers.

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