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Kansas City Chiefs 2023 NFL Season Betting Guide

By Hank Blaine

Defending Super Bowl Champion Kansas City heads to the 2023 NFL Season the chalk to repeat. KC has gone through some changes since this past February’s Lombardi Trophy celebration. Will Kansas City win as many regular season games in 2023 as they did in 2022. How will the Chiefs perform against the spread? Check out our predictions in this Kansas City Chiefs 2023 NFL Season Betting guide.

Kansas City Chiefs 2023 NFL Season Betting Predictions

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Kansas City Chiefs 2023 NFL Schedule

  • NFL Week 1: vs. Detroit Lions — 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)
  • NFL Week 2: at Jacksonville Jaguars — 1:00 p.m. ET (CBS)
  • NFL Week 3: vs. Chicago Bears — 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX)
  • NFL Week 4: at New York Jets — 8:15 p.m. ET (NBC)
  • NFL Week 5: at Minnesota Vikings — 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS)
  • NFL Week 6: vs. Denver Broncos — 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video)
  • NFL Week 7: vs. Los Angeles Chargers — 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS)
  • NFL Week 8: at Denver Broncos — 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS)
  • NFL Week 9: vs. Miami Dolphins — 9:30 a.m. ET (NFLN)
  • NFL Week 10: BYE
  • NFL Week 11: vs. Philadelphia Eagles — 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC)
  • NFL Week 12: at Las Vegas Raiders — 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS)
  • NFL Week 13: at Green Bay Packers — 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)
  • NFL Week 14: vs. Buffalo Bills — 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS)
  • NFL Week 15: at New England Patriots — 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)
  • NFL Week 16: vs. Las Vegas Raiders — 1:00 p.m. ET (CBS)
  • NFL Week 17: vs. Cincinnati Bengals — 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS)
  • NFL Week 18: at Los Angeles Chargers — TBD (TBD)

Kansas City Chiefs 2023 Straight-Up Overview

Patrick Mahomes remains the best player in the NFL. The KC quarterback won the NFL MVP last season and is the favorite to repeat the feat this season. As long as Magic Mahomes plays quarterback for the Chiefs, Kansas City will be a Super Bowl contender.

But in 2023, even though the Chiefs will be one of the teams to beat, Kansas City could struggle to make the AFC Championship. The problem Kansas City has is at arguably the second most important position in football, left tackle.

Last season, Orlando Brown Jr. played left tackle for the KC Chiefs. Brown Jr. is one of the top left tackles in the NFL. This season, Brown will do his work for Bengals’ quarterback Joe Burrow.

Replacing left tackle for the Chiefs will be Donovan Smith. Smith used to be one of the top tackles in the NFL. But last season, he was a disaster trying to protect Tom Brady. If Smith struggles, Mahomes will struggle, which means KC’s hopes of repeating rest on Donovan’s shoulders.

Left tackle isn’t the only reason to question Kansas City’s ability to win as many games this season as they did last season. The KC defense ranked sixteenth in points allowed per game. The Chiefs boast a pair of new starting defensive ends in George Karlaftis, last season’s top draft pick, and Charles Omenihu.

If neither steps it up, KC’s D will find it difficult to get to opposing quarterbacks. Also, opponents in the AFC West have gotten better. Denver hired Sean Payton, the Chargers were good last season, and Jimmy Garoppolo plays quarterback for the Las Vegas Raiders.

In Kansas City’s favor is the fact the schedule doesn’t look overly difficult. Kansas City went 14-3 straight up last season. In 2023, the Chiefs lost 5 games to go 12-5.

Kansas City Chiefs 2023 SU Record Prediction: 12-5

Kansas City Chiefs 2023 Against the Spread Overview

The Chiefs went 5-11-1 against the spread in 2022. It’s rare that oddsmakers are so off the mark setting lines for the same team in 2 straight seasons.

Kansas City was terrible at covering spreads last season. This season, they won’t be much better, but they will be better. Instead of 5-11-1, let’s go 7-10.

Kansas City Chiefs ATS Record Prediction: 7-10

Kansas City Chiefs 2023 Over/Under Overview

When it came to setting over/under total lines on Kansas City games, the over/under total on KC games went 8-9 in 2022.

This season we should expect a similar game total schedule except the total from last season will be reversed. The prediction for the Chiefs over/under in 2023 is 9-8.

Kansas City Chiefs 2023 Over/Under Record Prediction: 9-8

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READ MORE: Kansas City Chiefs 2023 Season Win/Loss Total