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Diamondbacks vs. Phillies 2023 MLB NLCS Game 1 Odds and Preview

By Hank Blaine

Two underdogs clash in the National League Championship Series starting on Monday when the Arizona Diamondbacks head to Philadelphia to take on the NLCS defending champion Phillies. The D’Backs upset the Los Angeles Dodgers and Philadelphia took down 104-game winning Atlanta. Will the D’Backs get it done in Game 1? Or will Philadelphia show why many believe they win the World Series? Check out NLCS odds, analysis, and a free pick for D’Backs at Phillies.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies 2023 MLB NLCS Game 1 Information

  • When: Monday, October 16, 2023, 8:07 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
  • TV: TBS
  • Radio: KMVP Arizona Sports 98.7 (Diamondbacks) // WIP 94.1 FM (Phillies)
  • Live Stream: MLB.tv
  • MLB Odds: Diamondbacks (+135) // Phillies (-166)

Why bet on the Arizona Diamondbacks?

The Arizona Diamondbacks weren’t supposed to beat the Milwaukee Brewers. All AZ did was sweep the Brew Crew.

Then the D’Backs weren’t supposed to beat the Dodgers. All Arizona did versus favored Los Angeles was break out the brooms again. Sweeping both the Brewers and the Dodgers means the Diamondbacks are 5-0 in the postseason.

Scorching Arizona also got extra rest because the D’Backs completed their sweep of the Dodgers on October 11.

Why bet on the Philadelphia Phillies?

Philadelphia rolled to series victories over the Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves. Most expected the Phils to beat the Marlins.

But beating the Braves was a surprise. In fact, many expected the ATL to sweep the Phillies. Not only did Philadelphia beat Atlanta, but the Phillies lost just 1 game during the series and the loss was by a single run, 5-4.

Philadelphia’s victories over Atlanta were 3-0, 10-2, and 3-1. What that tells us is that not only are the Phillies hitting great but that their pitchers are throwing fire.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Betting Trends

  • Arizona is 5-0 SU in the last 5 games.
  • Diamondbacks are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Philadelphia.
  • The total went under in 7 of Arizona’s last 10 games.
  • Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in the last 7 games.
  • Phillies are 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home.
  • The total went over in 11 of Philadelphia’s last 16 games when playing at home against Arizona.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies 2023 MLB NLCS Game 1 Betting Prediction

Neither squad has said who they will start in their rotation. The Diamondbacks are likely to roll the dice with Zac Gallen. Arizona’s ace has thrown well during the playoffs, but Philadelphia is a different team than the Brewers or Dodgers.

If Gallen shows any rust, the D’Backs will be in trouble. Extra rest can be good, but in the case of the Diamondbacks, it could work against them. Arizona will have rested for 5 days between their Game 4 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers and this Monday contest against the Phillies. The D’Backs were hot in every phase of the game. So any rest might be bad rest for Arizona.

Philadelphia is likely to start Zach Wheeler. The Phillies ace threw great in the 5-4 loss to Atlanta. Wheeler faced Arizona twice this season.

In the first start, he didn’t throw well. In the second, Wheeler made the necessary adjustments for the second start and held AZ to a single earned run in 6 innings while striking out 7.

In a couple of postseason games, Wheeler has a 2.08 ERA. For sure, the Philly ace will have an edge in this. The layoff will hurt the D’Backs and the Phillies are flying high after knocking off Atlanta. Philadelphia wins Game 1.

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*All odds stated are subject to change without prior notice.