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Atlanta Falcons 2023 NFL Season Betting Guide

By Hank Blaine

In 2022, the Atlanta Falcons surprised many. The Falcons were in playoff contention up into the final month of the regular season. In 2022, many expect the ATL to make the playoffs. But although Atlanta does appear to be better this season than last, so do the Falcons’ top rivals in the NFC South, New Orleans and Carolina. Will the Falcons win more games straight up this season than did last season? Also, how will Atlanta do against the spread? Check out the Falcons’ regular season schedule along with SU, ATS, and Over/Under game total predictions.

Atlanta Falcons 2023 NFL Season Betting Predictions

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Atlanta Falcons 2023 NFL Schedule

  • NFL Week 1: vs. Carolina Panthers — 1 p.m. (FOX)
  • NFL Week 2: vs. Green Bay Packers — 1 p.m. (FOX)
  • NFL Week 3: at Detroit Lions — 1 p.m. (FOX)
  • NFL Week 4: at Jacksonville Jaguars — 9:30 p.m. (ESPN+)
  • NFL Week 5: vs. Houston Texans — 1 p.m. (FOX)
  • NFL Week 6: vs. Washington Commanders — 1 p.m. (CBS)
  • NFL Week 7: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — 1 p.m. (FOX)
  • NFL Week 8: at Tennessee Titans — 1 p.m. (CBS)
  • NFL Week 9: vs. Minnesota Vikings — 1 p.m. (FOX)
  • NFL Week 10: at Arizona Cardinals — 4:05 p.m. (CBS)
  • NFL Week 11: BYE
  • NFL Week 12: vs. New Orleans Saints — 1 p.m. (FOX)
  • NFL Week 13: at New York Jets — 1 p.m. (FOX)
  • NFL Week 14: vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers — 1 p.m. (CBS)
  • NFL Week 15: at Carolina Panthers — TBD (TBD)
  • NFL Week 16: vs. Indianapolis Colts — 1 p.m. (FOX)
  • NFL Week 17: at Chicago Bears — 1 p.m. (CBS)
  • NFL Week 18: at New Orleans Saints — TBD (TBD)

Atlanta Falcons 2023 Straight-Up Overview

The Falcons finished 7-10 this season. Based on their upcoming record, as well as changes Atlanta made during the offseason, the ATL has a good chance of turning their record from 7-10 to 10-7.

Atlanta’s success starts with Desmond Ridder. If the Cincinnati Bearcat improves as an NFL signal-caller, there’s no telling how far Atlanta will go.

The Falcons drafted Texas running back Bijan Robinson in the first round. Robinson should step onto the field as one of the league’s top ball-carriers in his first NFL game. That’s how much talent Bijan possesses.

Also, wide receiver Drake London is in his second season and tight-end Kyle Pitts should be one-hundred percent. So if Ridder takes a forward step in his second season, the Atlanta Falcons’ offense should move forward big time.

When it comes to the defense, Atlanta made three moves that could make the Falcons D the best in the division. The ATL signed David Onyemata away from the Saints to play nose tackle. Jeff Okudah comes over from the Lions to play corner and Bud Dupree signed with Atlanta from Tennessee to play strongside linebacker.

All three improves what was a decent defense in 2022. If the offense and defense come together for Atlanta, the Falcons should lose no more than 7 games. The for sure losses should be at Detroit, versus Jacksonville, versus New Orleans, at NYJ, at Carolina, at Chicago and at New Orleans.

Some of those loses could go in Atlanta’s favor. So our 10-7 straight up prediction is tepid.

Atlanta Falcons 2023 SU Record Prediction: 10-7

Atlanta Falcons 2023 Against the Spread Overview

The Falcons went 9-8 against the spread last season. Atlanta will do much better straight up in 2023. There’s a chance Atlanta also does better against the spread.

The Falcons could end up home underdogs against Jacksonville, Green Bay, and Minnesota. If that happens, the ATL could end up winning 2 more game against the spread than they did last season.

Atlanta Falcons ATS Record Prediction: 11-6

Atlanta Falcons 2023 Over/Under Overview

The total went 7-10 over-to-under in Atlanta’s games. This season, the total should go 10-7 over- to-under in Falcons’ contests.

Oddsmakers may undervalue Atlanta’s ability to score points until about midway through the season. By then, the over will have gotten an edge on the under.

Atlanta Falcons 2023 Over/Under Record Prediction: 10-7

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READ MORE: Atlanta Falcons 2023 Season Win/Loss Total