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2023 NFL Week 3 Sleeper Picks

By Hank Blaine

NFL Week 3 provides its fair share of sleeper picks. One of the most obvious happens when Atlanta faces off against the Lions in Detroit. The 2-0 Falcons are a +4 spread line underdog. So the straight up odds on the ATL are more than fair. Also in NFL Week 3, the Saints are a dog on the road versus Green Bay, the Vikings are slight underdogs at home against the Chargers, and D.C. is a +230 money line dog to win straight up against Josh Allen and the Bills. Keep reading for NFL odds, analysis, and free picks for six of NFL Week 3’s top sleeper plays./p>

Top Sleeper Picks for 2023 NFL Week 3

Atlanta Falcons vs. Detroit Lions

The Detroit Lions played well enough to beat the Seattle Seahawks in NFL Week 2. But the Lions couldn’t close the deal, and Geno Smith led the Seahawks to an overtime victory.

On Sunday, things don’t get easier for Detroit. For starters, they must play this game without their best running back, David Montgomery. Montgomery is a banger who can pick up tough yards. Without Montgomery, Jahmyr Gibbs must step it up, which will be difficult because the Falcons have a decent defense.

When it comes to the Lions defending against Atlanta, the road team has the edge. Bijan Robinson is already one of the best running backs in the NFL. QB Desmond Ridder is clicking with his receivers. Atlanta can pull off the SU upset win.

2023 NFL Week 3 Pick: Atlanta Falcons

New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers

For the second straight week, Jordan Love played great football. Green Bay, though, couldn’t prevent an Atlanta rally. The game happened in the ATL. This game happens in Wisconsin. So Green Bay, for sure, should be the chalk.

Love, though, faces a fantastic defense. Saints cornerback Marshon Lattimore can go man-to-man against any of Green Bay’s wideouts. Almost as important, Derek Carr has developed a rapport with both comeback player of the year candidate Michael Thomas and second year pro Chris Olave. If the Saints get anything going on the ground, they should go home to Louisiana with a win.

2023 NFL Week 3 Pick: New Orleans Saints

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings are a +0.5 home underdog against the spread, which is why Minnesota offers -107 on the money line. At -107, the Vikings should be at the top of every straight-up player’s NFL Week 3 list.

The Vikes get the Bolts at home. Home field gives Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson a huge edge. Almost as important is that the Chargers have blown games against Miami and Tennessee in two straight. When it comes to coaching, it’s preferable to back Minnesota’s Kevin O’Connell over the Bolts’ Brandon Staley.

2023 NFL Week 3 Pick: Minnesota Vikings

Buffalo Bills vs. Washington Commanders

If you take a close look at the Bills’ blowout victory over the Raiders in NFL Week 2, it’s obvious what happened. Buffalo wore down the Raiders’ defense because the Raiders’ offense couldn’t move the ball.

Eventually, like they often do, Vegas threw in the towel. Allen and his mates face a different team on Sunday, one with grit and heart. D.C. rallied down 21-3 to upset the Broncos on the road. Washington gets Buffalo at FedEx Field and the D-Line will cause Allen a lot of problems.

2023 NFL Week 3 Pick: Washington Commanders

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Las Vegas Raiders

The Steelers have a Monday night game against the Cleveland Browns. No matter what happens in that contest, Vegas is the pick to win on Sunday.

Pittsburgh is the more quality franchise, but the Raiders take on the Steeles on their field. Vegas bounced in their second game against Buffalo. If Vegas plays the way they did versus the Broncos in NFL Week 1, they win this.

2023 NFL Week 3 Pick: Las Vegas Raiders

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Eagles got their offense going against the Minnesota Vikings in NFL Week 2. But in NFL Week 3, the Philly Birds tackle a team with a great defense and a decent quarterback.

Buccaneers’ QB Baker Mayfield has yet to throw an interception. He’s playing excellent football. Versus the Bears, Baker threw for over 300 yards and a TD.

The Eagles gave up 28 points to the Minnesota Vikings. The Bucs may not require that many points to upset the Eagles in Tampa. Philadelphia has been skating on thin ice, barely

2023 NFL Week 3 Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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*All stated odds are subject to change without prior notice.

READ MORE: 2023 NFL Week 3 Odds, Overview & Picks