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2021 BMW Championship Betting Odds, Preview and Picks

By Hank Blaine

The second of three FedExCup playoff events is a short turnaround this week as the Top 70 PGA Tour golfers in points have advanced to the BMW Championship, where there will be no cut with the small field. World No. 1 Jon Rahm is favored as he usually is.

With that, NitroBetting takes a deep dive into the 2021 Barracuda Championship. We line up all the necessary information you need to make educated picks. This preview shares event information, the latest Golf odds, favorites, and sleepers of the tournament, and our very own expert betting predictions.

2021 BMW Championship Tournament Info

  • When: Thursday, August 26, 2021 to Sunday August 29, 2021
  • Where: Caves Valley Golf Club, Owings Mills, Maryland
  • TV: Golf Channel
  • Live Stream: GolfChannel.com

What to Expect at the 2021 BMW Championship

While the BMW Championship has been around since 2007, this is the first time it is being played at Caves Valley Golf Club in Maryland, a par 72 at 7,542 yards. The course had never hosted a PGA Tour event before because it wasn’t very long – it did host a few senior events. It will be the first PGA Tour event in the Baltimore area since the mid-1960s.

It’s a short turnaround because the Northern Trust Open was pushed to a Monday finish due to weather in the New York City area and Tony Finau beat Aussie Cam Smith in a playoff to take over the FedExCup points lead. Finau had gone 142 straight tournaments since his last victory even though he seems to contend often.

2021 BMW Championship Stats

Since winning the Puerto Rico Open in the spring of 2016, Finau had eight runner-up finishes, three of those in a playoff, and 11 finishes in the top three before this win. Finau shot a final-round 65 on Sunday, while Smith shot a 67. He missed a 25-foot birdie chance on the 18th in regulation that would have won it. Smith had a terrible drive on the first playoff hole, also the 18th. Finau is +2800 to win this week and Smith +2200.

A total of six players moved from outside the Top 70 to in at the Northern Trust, meaning six fell out. Phil Mickelson missed the cut at the Northern Trust but finished on the cut line, at 70th, and is on to the BMW. Matthew Wolff, Tyrell Hatton, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Martin Laird, Troy Merritt and JT Poston all fell outside of the Top 70.

The Top 30 in points after this week advance to the season-ending Tour Championship and the leader of the points after the BMW Championship will begin the Tour Championship at 10 under par, two shots ahead of the next closest in the points.

Spain’s Rahm (+650 second favorite) finished third at the Northern Trust, two shots out of a playoff, but is the defending champion of the BMW Championship – at a different course. Rahm beat Dustin Johnson in a playoff last year; Johnson made a 45-foot putt to force the playoff and then Rahm made a 66-foot birdie putt on the first playoff hole to win.

Xander Schauffele is +1800 this week with Johnson, Collin Morikawa, Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas all +2000. Johnson has won this event twice, but, again, at different courses. He comes off a missed cut at the Northern Trust.

Thomas won the 2019 BMW Championship and his fourth at the Northern Trust on Monday was his best PGA Tour finish since winning the Players Championship back in the spring. Morikawa had been the FedExCup points leader before missing the cut Monday. Both Schauffele and Spieth are within striking distance of Finau for the sixth and final automatic qualifying position for the US Ryder Cup Team entering the final week.

There is one player inside the Top 70 who will not tee it up this week. After withdrawing from the Northern Trust with an ailing left ankle, Patrick Reed is now in a Houston-area hospital recovering from bilateral interstitial pneumonia. Reed is 26th in points and could fall outside the Top 30 after the BMW, which would mean he’d fail to qualify for the Tour Championship for the first time since 2014.

The player sitting just outside the Top 30 entering the BMW is Kevin Kisner (+9000) at 31

READ MORE: 2021 TOUR Championship Betting Odds, Preview and Picks

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*All odds stated are subject to change without prior notice.