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Super Bowl LVIII Early Odds

By Hank Blaine

All NFL teams will have a mandatory minicamp next month and then it’s the slow season in the sport until players report to training camp in late July. Point being: Odds to win Super Bowl LVIII aren’t likely to change between now and then but the Kansas City Chiefs are the +600 favorites to repeat this year.

Early Odds to Win Super Bowl LVIII

There are not lines

Why wouldn’t the Chiefs repeat?

They have the NFL’s best player in QB Patrick Mahomes, who won his second NFL MVP Award last season. He claimed 48 of 50 first-place votes and garnered 490 total points. Mahomes completed a historic season in 2022, resetting the single-season record for total yards by surpassing Drew Brees’ previous mark of 5,562 with 5,614. The vast majority of that production came from Mahomes’ passing efforts, in which he set a new career-high mark with 5,250 while leading the NFL in touchdown passes with 41. Kansas City led the NFL in scoring offense.

Kansas City upgraded the tackles in front of Mahomes this offseason. With Orlando Brown Jr. and Andrew Wylie both hitting free agency, most teams would have been terrified. Instead, the Chiefs dared to get better and probably got there. They originally signed former Jaguars tackle Jawaan Taylor, presumably as part of a move from the right side to an unfamiliar spot at left tackle but when Donovan Smith’s market failed to develop, they brought in the longtime Bucs tackle on a short-term deal to play left tackle.

Can the Eagles Get There Again?

The Philadelphia Eagles, who lost that epic Super Bowl to Kansas City, is a second favorite. The Eagles signed MVP runner-up Jalen Hurts to a new long-term extension that averages $51 million per year. Starting running back Miles Sanders left in free agency for the Panthers, replaced by a low-cost deal for Rashaad Penny and a trade for D’Andre Swift. Linebackers T.J. Edwards and Kyzir White were allowed to leave, as were safeties C.J. Gardner-Johnson and Marcus Epps.

This Could Be Buffalo’s Time

Buffalo might have won it all last season if not for the injury suffered by pass rusher Von Miller. Miller’s (ACL tear in late November of last year could put him in jeopardy of missing the start of the 2023 regular season, regardless of how optimistic he might appear to be about it. Considering Miller’s age (34) and how important he is to the team’s playoff push, so the Bills will certainly be careful with him in the lead-up to the season.

To boost the offense this winter, the Bills went out and got their power back, letting Devin Singletary leave in free agency and replacing him with former Patriots starter Damien Harris. When the draft rolled around, the Bills used their first-round pick on tight end Dalton Kincaid, who can move around the formation and create mismatches on the interior.

Who Else Should You Keep an Eye Out For?

After taking over as starter in December, Purdy led the 49ers to a 7-1 record before tearing the ulnar collateral ligament (UCL) in his right elbow in the first quarter of the NFC Championship Game loss to the Eagles. It does appear he will be back in time.

Purdy scored in the mid-90s on the S2 Cognition test. The test, which is administered to nearly 800 draft prospects each year, is designed to test an athlete’s cognitive processing abilities. It aims to measure how quickly and accurately an athlete can process information and top quarterbacks have historically performed in the upper echelon. For comparison, Purdy’s results mirror that of former Chargers and Saints quarterback Drew Brees. Head coach Kyle Shanahan continues to insist that Purdy is the team’s starting quarterback when healthy.

We could see one of these contenders get better this week if it signs free agent receiver DeAndre Hopkins, who was released by Arizona. Turning 31 years old in June, Hopkins is coming off a suspension-abbreviated season in which he caught 64 passes for 717 yards and three touchdowns in just nine games. A first-round pick of the Houston Texans in the 2013 NFL Draft, Hopkins has enjoyed a stellar career, making five Pro Bowls and earning first-team All-Pro honors three times. Miller is trying to lure Hopkins to Buffalo but Kansas City probably makes the most sense.

Dallas has $10.6 million in cap space and could find a place for Hopkins, even after adding Brandin Cooks via trade. Playing with Dak Prescott might be intriguing to Hopkins, too. And again, Hopkins has already spoken about how much he enjoys the state of Texas.

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*All stated odds are subject to change without prior notice.